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Prediction of Oil Price in Cambodia

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Prediction of Oil Price in Cambodia
論文目錄
 
ABSTRACT第1-11頁
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION第11-19頁
  1.1 BACKGROUND第11-12頁
  1.2 THE PURPOSE AND SIGNIFICANCE OF RESEARCH第12-14頁
    1.2.1 The purpose of Research第12頁
    1.2.2 Research significance第12-14頁
  1.3 RESEARCH CONTENT第14頁
  1.4 RESEARCH METHODS第14-19頁
    1.4.1 Introduction第14-15頁
    1.4.2 Documents Act第15頁
    1.4.3 An Empirical Study of Law第15頁
    1.4.4 Designing of AR第15-19頁
CHAPTER 2 MAIN THEORIES AND LITERATURE REVIEW第19-35頁
  2.1 LITERATURE REVIEW第19-27頁
    2.1.1 Connotation of oil price prediction第19-21頁
    2.1.2 The concept of price of oil prediction第21-25頁
    2.1.3 The Economic Important of oil第25頁
    2.1.4 Different types of oil第25-27頁
  2.2 THE MAIN THEORIES RELATED TO OIL PRICE第27-35頁
    2.2.1 Fundamental Drivers of Supply and Demand第27-28頁
    2.2.2 Factors Affecting Supply and Demand-and Oil Prices第28-29頁
    2.2.3 What happen if prices go lower第29頁
    2.2.4 Political Events第29-30頁
    2.2.5 Bad governance with Corruption第30-31頁
    2.2.6 World Economic Crisis第31-32頁
    2.2.7 The Relationship between Oil Price and Other Macroeconomic第32-35頁
CHAPTER 3 MODELLING第35-43頁
  3.1 AR MODEL第35-37頁
  3.2 FITTING THE DATA TO THE MODEL第37-38頁
  3.3 DATASET AND CHOICE OF FACTORS第38-41頁
    3.3.1 Define ρ by year第39-40頁
    3.3.2 Define ε_k by year第40-41頁
  3.4 PREDICTION RESULT第41頁
  3.5 FORECASTING AND COMPARISON第41-43頁
CHAPTER 4 DATA ANALYSIS第43-55頁
  4.1 GRAPH OF OIL PRICE FROM 2005-2020 BY MONTHLY第43-51頁
  4.2 LEAST SQUARES ESTIMATOR OF P FROM THE YEAR OF 2005-2020第51-55頁
CHAPTER 5 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION第55-59頁
  5.1 REVIEW OF THE RESEARCH第55頁
  5.2 INNOVATION RESEARCH第55-56頁
  5.3 LIMITATIONS OF RESEARCH AND FURTHER STUDIES第56-57頁
  5.4 CONCLUSION第57-59頁
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT第59-61頁
REFERENCE第61-68頁
APPENDIX第68-72頁

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